Category Archives: K2K Premium Picks

Key2Kash’s Premium Plays Monday, August 15th

English Premier League

Free Pick #1:

Manchester City vs Swansea UNDER 2.5 goals (+110) Take 5 units to win 5.5 units

Pick Analysis: Of the 8 EPL games this weekend only 2 went over the 2.5 Total, as Bolton won 4-0, and Manchester United needed a 81st min. own goal by West Bromwich to go get their 2-1 victory that went over the total. We expect to get a great defensive game from Swansea, who will be making their EPL debut tonight, against Manchester City, who has had it’s series of offseason distractions as Carlos Tevez has asked to get his release from the club, but Manchester City did not make any moves. This game will be a battle between in midfield, and goals will be hard to come about tonight. I do expect Tevez to possibly find the back of the net, once, but other than that, expect less than 3 goals in tonight’s featured game. Risk a max 5% of your bankroll on the UNDER 2.5 goals.

NFL
Free Pick #2:

Houston Texans vs New York Jets OVER 34.5 (-110) (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units)

MLB
Guaranteed Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers ML (-162) over Los Angeles Dodgers. (Risk 16.2 units to win 10 units)

Pick Analysis: Brewers have been so money at home this season, and Ted Lilly has been the Dodgers’ worst pitcher this season. Randy Wolf is 5-2 this season when he pitches at home, and we expect him to continue his winning ways at home. He has won his last 3 home starts. Ted Lilly is 2-5 in his road starts his season, and has lost his last 3 road starts, as the Dodgers have given him 5 runs total in run support in his last 3 road starts. Expect the Brewers to score first and often, and therefore we guarantee a victory for the Brewers today. Risk to win 10 units on the Brewers tonight.

Premium Play #1:

Minnesota Twins ML (+136) over Detroit Tigers. (Risk 5 units to win 6.8 units)

Pick Analysis: Hard to believe that Francisco Liriano pitched a no-hitter early this year, as the Twins have only won 9 of his 21 starts this season. Last time Liriano pitched against the Tigers he lasted 2.1 innings, in a 2-5 home loss. This is a revenge spot for the Twins who have struggled as of late, and will need Liriano’s best stuff in order to outduel Detroit’s Porcello. We expect the Twins to take advantage of this spot, and to hit Porcello well tonight. This is a risky play, but sometimes it takes some big balls to KaSh, so we will risk 5 units on this underdog, and hopefully we can get the best of the situation tonight.

Premium Play #2:

Oakland A’s ML (-167) over Baltimore Orioles (Risk 5 units to win 3.01 units)

Pick Analysis: Gio Gonzalez has struggled as of late, losing his last 4 starts. However, Gio Gonzalez is still 7-3 in his 10 home starts this season, and will have the opportunity to get back to his winning ways as the Baltimore Orioles come to town, and this is a perfect chance for Gio Gonzalez to get his first win in over a month! Risk 5 units on the A’s to win tonight.

Premium Play #3

Florida Marlins vs Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 Runs (-120) (Risk 6 units to win 5 units)

Pick Analysis: Clay Hensley will be on the road facing off against Kevin Millwood in a hitter’s ballpark tonight, and this game will go over the total before the 6th inning. The Florida Marlins have a young lineup, but have the ability to score runs in these types of environment and ballpark. Rockies ballpark is known for OVERS, as Games average 10.54 runs a game so far this season in Coors Field. This is strictly a system play, and therefore we recommend to risk to win 5 units over the OVER 9.5 runs in this matchup.

Premium Play #4:

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres OVER 7 Runs (+100) (Risk 5 units to win 5 units)

Pick Analysis: Really nice pitching matchup between Dickey and Harang in San Diego tonight, however, the last 6 starts by Harang have gone over the total, 7 of his 10 home starts have gone over the total, and 13 of his 19 starts this season have gone over the total. Harang has an ERA of 3.95, and faces R.A. Dickey, who also tends to have games go over the Total, as 7 of his 12 road have gone over, and the Mets have given Dickey very good run support as of late. Risk 5 units on the OVER 7 in this match up.

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Key2Kash’s Premium Plays Sunday, August 14th

MLB

Premium Play #1:

Philadelphia Phillies RL -1.5 (-130) over Washington Nationals. 1:35pm EST (Risk 13.0 units to win 10 units)

Pick Analysis: This play might be my “squarest” play of the year. Roy Halladay, who is running away with the NL CY Young Award, as in 24 starts this year has resulted in 20 victories for the Phillies, faces off against Chien-Ming Wang who outside of his last start, a victory over the Cubs, has really struggled to get batters out. Roy Halladay already has 4 convincing victories when listed as a -180 home favorite or higher, including covering the Run Line in all his 3 starts as a -200 favorite or higher. We expect the Phillies to start first and often, and don’t expect the Nationals to score more than 2 runs today. This is also a grudge match, as the Nationals stole game 1 when Cole Hamels was listed as a -300 favorite in game 1, but Roy Halladay is 10 times more effective than Cole Hamels. Our max bet is usually 5 units but in situations like this, We are risking to win 10 units on the Phillies to cover the Run Line. Halladay will get the job done.

Premium Play #2:

Houston Astros RL +1.5 (-130) over Los Angeles Dodgers. 4:10pm EST (Risk 4 units to win 3.07 units)

Pick Analysis: The Houston Astros have been playing terrible baseball, as so far have lost the first 2 matches in LA. For Game 3, Houston will have Jordan Lyles on the mound, and the Astros have only won 2 of his 13 starts this year. However, Houston has been losing 1 run games in most of his starts, and we expect Houston to get after Kuroda today and score some runs on him, and will have the opportunity to potential win the game outright, but we will take the safer route, and take Risk 4 units on Houston to cover the run line, Dodgers will have some difficulty scoring runs, as they have most of this season.

Premium Play #3:

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 Runs (-110). 1:07pm EST (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units)

Pick Analysis: 2 AL premier pitchers take the mound today, as the Angels send Dan Haren to face off against Brett Cecil, in a Game 3 grudge match to determine who will win the series. 7 of 14 games on the road for Dan Haren have gone under the total, and 5 of 6 games for Brett Cecil at home have gone under the total, I expect Brett Cecil to continue his dominating ways, and Dan Haren to try to improve his numbers, and especially the way the Blue Jays won last night, I expect this game to go by really fast, with these pitchers getting easy outs in key situations. Risk 4.4 units on the Angels/Jays game to stay UNDER 7.5 runs today.

English Premier League

Chelsea FC ML (-110) over Stoke City. 8:30am EST (Risk 3.3 units to win 3 units)

Pick Analysis: We got buried last night, as all 3 of our EPL picks ended in Draws, which was very frustrating. However, this set up a great situation for Chelsea to get a 2 point early lead with an away victory against Stoke City today. Chelsea will need to play a very good defensive game to get all 3 points today, which they always do, in order to get some strong counterattacks from their strikers, Fernando Torres, Didier Drogba, or Nicholas Anelka who will need to open up the scoring early, in order to set the tone for the season for Chelsea. Risk 3.3 units on Chelsea to get the away victory today.

Manchester United ML (-163) over West Brom. 11:00am EST (Risk 8.15 units to win 5 units)


Pick Analysis: Again we are taking the better team in this matchup, and Manchester United will need to take full advantage of this West Brom matchup, to also get the full 3 points on the road. Last year, Manchester United had some difficulty to get away victories, but I expect this game to end in a 2-0, 2-1 final, and therefore we are risking to win a full 5 units on Manchester United to get the away victory.

FIFA U-20 World Cup Quarterfinals

Nigeria U-20 to Qualify (-138) over France U-20. 4:00pm EST (Risk 6.9 units to win 5 units)

Pick Analysis: Nigeria U-20 has yet to allow a single goal in the tournament this year, and faces a very beatable France team in the Quarterfinals. As the only remaining African team left in the tournament, expect a great performance from Nigeria. Because, so many of these games have ended in draws, we are taking the safer route, and taking Nigeria to qualify over France to find themselves with a semifinal spot in the U-20 FIFA Championships. Risk to win 5 units on Nigeria to qualify.

Key2Kash’s Premium Plays Saturday, August 13th

English Premier League

Premium Play #1:

Take Fulham ML (+100) over Aston Villa. (Risk 4 units to win 4 units).
10:00am EST

Pick Analysis: Fulham will look to impress their home crowd as it
starts its EPL season against Aston Villa. Clint Dempsey will look to
have a much bigger role this season, and has the potential to be one
of the top goal scorers in the EPL. Aston Villa is not known for its
road success and only has Darren Bent who has the ability to
consistently find the back of the net. Should be a low scoring game,
but the home side will have enough to get the win today. Risk 4 units
on Fulham to win today.

Premium Play #2:

Take Liverpool -1 (-140) over Sunderland (Risk 7 units to win 5 units)
10:00am EST

Pick Analyis: **Blowout Alert** Sunderland has no chance in this game.
Expect early goals from Liverpool, who will like to make a statement
in their first game of the EPL season, as they have their eyes set on
to decrown Manchester United. I would be really surprised if Liverpool
DID NOT win by 2 or more goals early. Risk 7 units to win a max. 5
units on Liverpool -1. Start your day with a BANG and +5% of your
bankroll.

Premium Play #3:

Take Norwich ML (+225) over Wigan (3 units to win 6.75 units). 10:00am EST

Pick Analysis: **UPSET Alert**: Wigan is not known as a powerful
english club, and has never faced Norwich before. Norwich was promoted
to the Premier League this season, after finishing runner-up in the
Championship League last year, and will look to impress its new league
early on, with a winnable game today vs. a weak Wigan club. Great
value at +225, and therefore we are risking 3 units on Norwich to get
the outright road win today.

MLB

Premium Play #1:

Take Washington Nationals RL +1.5 (-120) over Philadelphia Phillies
(Risk 4 units to win 3.33 units). 7:05pm EST

Pick Analysis: I really like the spot that the Nationals are in today,
after pulling off a huge upset last night with a 4-2 victory as a +250
dog, Lannan will look to keep the Nationals within 1 run of the
Phillies today, who have a hittable Roy Oswalt on the mound. Nationals
will have the chance to win the game, but we expect them to cover the
RL no matter what. Risk 4 units on Nationals +1.5 today, and KaSh your
ticket after the game ends.

Premium Play #2:

Take Pittsburgh Pirates RL +1.5 (-145) over Milwaukee Brewers (Risk 5
units to win  3.45 units). 4:10pm EST

Pick Analysis: Even though the Pirates got blown out last night, and
we lost our play, we are sticking with them, as the Brewers send out
Miguel Estrada to the mound who is a miserable 2-7 so far this year,
most of his decision have been in relief appearances, however, Kevin
Correia has had great success on the road this season, and we expect
the Pirates to come back and cover the run line today. Risk 5 units on
the Pirates RL.

Premium Play #3:

Take TB Rays ML (+130) over NY Yankees. (Risk 4 units to win 5.2
units) 4:10pm EST

Pick Analysis: Yankees send out Phil Hughes today, and this is an
automatic fade play against Phil Hughes. Rays have had good success on
the road against the Yankees this season, and we expect this to
continue tonight. Jeremy Helickson is in position to get some votes
for Rookie of the Year, and with a quality start today, he may get a
few extra votes. We expect the Rays to get in good rhythm today, and
should sneak out with a road victory today. Risk 4 units

Key2Kash’s Premium Plays Friday, August 12th

MLB

Premium Play #1:

SD Padres vs CIN Reds UNDER 8.5 Runs (-125) Risk 4 units to win 3.2 units

Pick Analysis: Latos and Arroyo will have a comfortable time getting batters out tonight, and I expect a low scoring game, as the Padres have been hitting the ball really well, and it is hard to see them continuing to do so. Reds have also been really streaky, and I expect Latos to give us a A-game performance tonight. Risk 4 units on UNDER 8.5 runs in this game.

Premium Play #2:

PIT Pirates RL +1.5 (-125) over MIL Brewers. Risk 5 units to win 4 units

Pick Analysis: Lots of hype on Grienke and the Brewers at home, I expect the Pirates to get back to their winning ways, but it really depends how Malholm pitches. He has not had may good outings as of late, but I expect the Pirates to continue to impress on the road, as they stole 2 of 3 games from the Giants, this game Brewers will lose or win by 1. Risk 5 units on Pirates to cover RL

Premium Play #3

KC Royals ML (+125) over CHI White Sox. Risk 4 unit to win 5 units

Pick Analysis: Bruce Chen over Zach Stewart, and the Royals have the offense to match the White Sox, I expect this Royals to strike right and get White Sox players out in key situations. Risk 4 units on Royals to win outright.

 

Still no preseason NFL picks for me night, as I’m trying to understand the way they are posting these lines. Good luck.

Key2Kash’s Premium Picks Thursday, August 11th

MLB

1) Oakland Athletics +135 (Risk 4 units to win 5.4 units) 12:35 P.M. EST

2) Los Angeles Angels +1.5 +100 (Risk 3 units to win 3 units) 1:05 P.M. EST

3) Detroit Tigers –185 (Risk 9.25 units to win 5 units) 7:05 P.M. EST

4) Milwaukee Brewers +121 Risk 3 units to win 3.63 units) 8:10 P.M. EST

Key2Kash’s Premium Picks Wednesday, August 10th

Premium Play #1: Underdog Special #1

$10 – Take Minnesota Twins ML (+180) over Boston Red Sox. (Risk 4
units to win 7.2 units)

Premium Play #2:

$10 – Take Chicago White Sox ML (-125) over Baltimore Orioles. (Risk 5
units to win 4 units

Premium Play #3: Underdog Special #2

$10 – Take Seattle Mariners ML (+180) over Texas Rangers (Risk 4 units
to win 7.2 units)

Free Pick: Take Oakland A’s ML (-110) over Toronto Blue Jays (Risk 4.4
units to win 4 units).

June 10th, 2011 – Key2KaSh Picks Daily Winners – Premium & Guaranteed Picks

Be sure to check out my Investment History, as all my current clients are very confident in my ability to pick daily premium winners, and numbers do not lie.

Get tonight’s  **BEST BET** Guaranteed Pick for ONLY $25.00.

NHL Finals (Game 5) 8:00pm EST: Hard to believe it has come to this! Personally, I have a Canucks futures to lift the Cup that I took at +300 before Game 1 of the First Round match-up with the Defending Stanley Cup Champions. The past 2 games in Boston, the Vancouver Canucks, have looked really inefficient offensively and defensively, and have started to play some dirty hockey, with has led to a successful powerplay unit from the Boston Bruins this series. Roberto Luongo, who has allowed 12 goals in the past 2 games, and will be starting for the Canucks tonight, and has been completely outplayed throughout this series by Tim Thomas. Game 5 will be a tightly played game, and I believe this is the last chance the Canucks will have to get back into the series, which is remarkable considering they haven’t not been down at all in the entire playoffs. Only stat that goes against the Bruins, is that the Canucks have a 9-3 record at home during the playoffs, but are only 1-2 in Game 5s played at home in the playoffs. Will the Canucks regain control of the series with a win tonight to take 3-2 lead, or Will Boston be going back home with the opportunity to Win the Stanley Cup on home ice? My notes indicate that this is my strongest play of the night. Get my **BEST BET** Guaranteed Pick of the Night for ONLY $25.00.

Get all the Premium Plays (Doesn’t Include **BEST BET**) for tonight for just $20.

Premium Play #1 – 7:05pm EST National League Matchup – ONLY $10.00.

Excellent pitching matchup tonight in this National League matchup, features 2 Aces, who will look to dominate their opposing lineups, respectively. Great spot for a strong total play here. Get this Premium Play for ONLY $10.00.
Premium Play #2 – 7:05pm EST National League Matchup – ONLY $10.00.

 

I really like what this team has been doing this year, and they have proven over the last 2 weeks that they are a team, that opposing teams cannot take lightly, as teams may have before. They have very underrated pitching match-up in this game, and I expect a great late performance here from the home team. Get this Premium Play for ONLY $10.00.
Premium Play #3 – 10:05pm EST National League Matchup – ONLY $10.00.

 

Both teams in this matchup with have their ace pitchers on the mound tonight. These teams have already faced each other in a series earlier this year, and the offenses were not at all impressive. I do expect this game tonight, to be dominated by pitching early. However, the better team in this matchup will do enough to get the win, and therefore, we are backing this side. Get this Premium Play for ONLY $10.00.

-Key2KaSh

Twitter: @RealKey2KaSh